Myanmar’s Department of Meteorology and Hydrology and weather experts have warned that preparations are needed due to the possible development of El Niño conditions.
The Department of Meteorology and Hydrology announced on May 21 that sea surface temperatures and atmospheric conditions in the Tropical Pacific Ocean near the equator indicate the possible formation of El Niño conditions.
According to forecasts from international meteorological agencies, weak El Niño conditions could begin from June and may strengthen into a strong El Niño event by the end of 2026.
Although El Niño develops in the Pacific Ocean, the phenomenon can generally cause irregular rainfall, rising temperatures, unusual storm patterns, drought, and other extreme weather conditions, the department said.
Meteorologist U Win Naing said there is currently about a 67% chance that El Niño could become very strong. He added that the probability of reaching a “Super El Niño” level has increased from around 25% to about 33%.
U Win Naing said El Niño events usually weaken Myanmar’s monsoon season and could lead to below-average rainfall during June, July, and August, prolonged monsoon breaks, drought, and higher temperatures.
He urged farmers preparing to grow monsoon rice and seasonal crops to carefully plan water usage and availability. He also called on the agriculture and water resource management sectors to begin preparing response measures for possible El Niño-related impacts.
The Department of Meteorology and Hydrology has also issued public warnings urging relevant sectors to make advance preparations for possible El Niño conditions.
