The Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army (MNDAA) has announced its readiness to resolve all issues, including those related to Lashio, through political dialogue under the mediation of China. The statement was released on the night of December 3.
The MNDAA stated that it is prepared to send high-level representatives to engage in talks with the military junta, aiming to address conflicts and differing perspectives through political means. Additionally, the MNDAA declared a unilateral ceasefire starting December 3, emphasizing that it would refrain from launching further offensives against the junta.
“Today, the state flag was raised again in Lashio. While this is not unusual, it signals a recognition and intent for peace. However, the military junta’s track record raises doubts about their willingness to adhere to a nationwide ceasefire,” commented a political analyst.
The MNDAA emphasized that for meaningful dialogue to take place, the military junta must halt ongoing offensives across the country. While the MNDAA supports a political solution, it reiterated its commitment to self-defense as necessary.
A military observer noted, “It’s unlikely the junta will relinquish Lashio. Giving up Lashio could also impact not only the MNDAA but the Ta’ang National Liberation Army (TNLA) and other allied groups. At best, negotiations might lead to concessions on border checkpoints or other limited areas, but not full territorial withdrawal.”
The reactivation of the military’s “Operation 1027” in northern Shan State, which intensified earlier this year, has reportedly displeased China. In August, the MNDAA seized Lashio, disrupting key trade routes to China from Kokang, prompting pressure from Beijing. Additionally, the MNDAA’s seizure of the town led to reports that Kokang leader Peng Jiasheng, who was in China for medical treatment, was detained by Chinese authorities.
In retaliation, the junta has conducted relentless airstrikes and ground offensives to retake Lashio. Political analysts argue that the junta’s fear of losing Lashio permanently could hinder their willingness to negotiate.
This is not the first time the MNDAA has expressed interest in political dialogue. In November, the TNLA also announced its readiness for negotiations. However, a similar attempt in the past, under the Hengqin Agreement brokered by China, led only to temporary ceasefires and a partial return of territories.
As tensions persist, the likelihood of successful talks remains uncertain, with observers highlighting deep mistrust and ongoing military preparations on both sides.
